In Petersburg the flu epidemic can begin in the end of DecemberIn Petersburg a flu epidemic can begin in the end of December. ABT it " News " the laboratory chief epidemiologii a flu and ORZ has informed scientific research institute of a flu of the Russian Academy of Medical Science Ivan Marinich.
Now disease ORZ and a flu among the majority of age groups of Petersburgers is at not epidemic level. However, since the end of November, seasonal lifting of disease among children aged till 15 years is observed. Level of disease of schoolboys/ 7 - 14 years/ throughout all December fluctuates about an epidemic threshold, in separate days slightly exceeding it.
growth of disease among children does not SPK that in Petersburg the flu epidemic begins, Ivan Marinich has underlined. Seasonal lifting of disease is an everyday occurrence which occurs every year.
Under the data which has entered the institute a flu, in one city of Russia the situation of disease of a flu and ORZ has not exceeded epidemic thresholds. In a number of foreign countries, since the autumn, local flashes of a flu were registered, but a wide circulation of epidemics was not observed.
under forecasts of experts, in Petersburg the flu epidemic can begin in the end of December or from second week of January, after the termination of school vacation. It is expected that this year it will have moderate character.
the virus And/ H3N2/ becomes the basic activator of a flu this year. Viruses of a flu And/ H1N1/ will circulate 2, but will not define epidemic course. The virus And/ H3N2/ in last season was the basic activator of a flu in Northern hemisphere and epidemic of this disease has stopped at the western borders of Russia. In our country of a flu epidemic of this version there were no 2 years.