A.Illarionov: gross national product Doubling will occur less, than for 10 yearsgross national product Doubling in Russia can occur even earlier, than for 10 years, the adviser of the president of the Russian Federation for economy Andrey Illarionov has declared at the World economic forum passing in Moscow.
as he said, over the last 50 years from 150 countries conducting to the statistican on economic processes, 70 have doubled gross national product for 10 years. Accordingly, A.Illarionov has added, there are no preconditions that the given process has not occurred in Russia. However, he has underlined, there is a number of problems, in particular sensitivity the Russian economy to the prices for oil raw materials, and also some displays the Dutch illness in the Russian economy. Thus the adviser of the president of Russia has noted positive experience of Kazakhstan which growth of gross national product exceeded recently Russian twice because process of reduction of real strengthening of tenge there has made 32 % while in Russia it has been fixed strengthenings of a real rouble exchange rate on 50 %. Accordingly, it made negative impact on our economic development - A.Illarionov has told.
Besides, according to the adviser of the president to name gross national product doubling for 10 years a bad problem - means to continue to insist on that Russia remained weak. According to A.Illarionov, gross national product doubling is a doubling of well-being of citizens which is connected with a food, clothes, services, formation, public health services, life expectancy.
if in the government there is an opinion about bad to a problem, that it is no wonder why we are today in such situation The adviser of the president has told. By its estimation, such statements testify also about carrying out of concrete actions a number of representatives of executive power. A.Illarionov has underlined that worldwide the state does all probably and impossible for increase in economic growth and increase of well-being of citizens.
this comment has sounded in reply to words of the deputy minister of economic development and trade of the Russian Federation Arcady Dvorkovicha who has declared at a forum that gross national product doubling for 10 years - a bad problem, but a good whip for the government for realisation of reforms. In its opinion, both statement of a problem of increase in gross national product, and forecasting of its growth - difficult enough processes. A.Dvorkovich considers that for purpose achievement it is necessary to do correct things during correct time . Thus, as considers the deputy minister, key reform is administrative as in a case if it will not be realised, there will be nobody to carry out all other reforms . According to A.Dvorkovicha, the state should use effectively resources and render the services claimed by a society, instead of define a circle of services which it would like to render.
we will remind, in June of this year the president of the Russian Federation V.Putin in the message to Federal meeting has declared that the next 10 years of Russia it is necessary to double gross national product, at least. The head of the state named this problem one of the major priorities socially - economic development of the country.
making comments on the statement of the president, A.Illarionov declared that for gross national product increase twice for 10 years mid-annual rate of a gain of gross national product not less than 7,2 % is required. For gross national product increase twice to the beginning of 2010 (for 10 years, with 2000 for 2009), taking into account actual growth in 2000 - 2003, mid-annual rate of a gain of gross national product not less than 7,9 % is required. For achievement of such results by the end 2010γ. And taking into account actual growth in 2001 - 2003γγ. Mid-annual rate of a gain of gross national product not less than 8,2 % is required.
it is necessary to notice that according to MERT, gross national product growth in January - July of this year has made 6,9 %. Following the results of a year gross national product growth in 5,9 % is predicted.