Rus News Journal

The treasury of the Russian Federation will miss 100 mlrd rbl. at oil cost in 100 dollars

Nedopostuplenie of incomes in the federal budget in 2012. At the mid-annual price for oil 100 dollars/ barr. Will make 100 mlrd rbl., Tatyana Nesterenko has informed journalists of the deputy minister of the finance. We consider nedopostuplenie incomes in connection with the forecast no more than 100 mlrd rbl. - she has told, having explained that decrease in receipts in connection with decrease in the look-ahead price for oil is levelled at the expense of rouble exchange rate easing.
it is necessary to notice that budget incomes current year are calculated proceeding from the look-ahead price 115 dollars/ barr. According to the basic characteristics of the federal budget for this year, deficiency will make 0,1 % of gross national product, not oil and gas deficiency - 10,6 %, incomes at the predicted price for oil - 12,67 trln rbl., limiting expenses - 12,74 trln rbl.
Meanwhile earlier the minister of economic development Andrey Belousov has declared that, most likely, the mid-annual price for oil will make 100 dollars/ barr., instead of 115 dollars/ barr., as it was planned before.
as to expenses of the budget of the Russian Federation on 2013 - 2014., they will be reduced on 830 mlrd rbl. Reduction will mention conditionally confirmed budgetary expenses (i.e. reflected in the budget, but not distributed on concrete articles which therefore can be corrected).
So expenses on 2013. Will be reduced 343,3 mlrd rbl., on 2014. - on 486,71 mlrd rbl. the Budgeted deficit is planned at level of 1,58 % of gross national product, not oil and gas deficiency - 10,3 % of gross national product. Thus on 2014. These indicators will make accordingly 0,68 % of gross national product and 9,1 % of gross national product.
incomes always are considered proceeding from the macroeconomic forecast. The budgetary rule concerns only expenses. Thus budget expenses are formed proceeding from what resources would be at the base price for oil plus of gross national product of 1 % - she has told.
according to T.Nesterenko, the size of expenses calculated thus, is put in the budget and it cannot be exceeded. the budgetary rule does not give possibility under specified forecast to increase expenses. If incomes are more will be either proficiency, or deficiency reduction - has told the deputy minister.
speaking about more remote prospect, in 2016 - 2020. The Ministry of Finance expects proficiency of the budget in a range 0,02 - 0,3 %. According to the department forecast, proficiency in 2016. Will make 0,02 %, incomes at the base price for oil 95 dollars/ barr. - 15,98 trln rbl., expenses - 16,89 trln rbl., not oil and gas deficiency - 8,5 %.
In 2017. Proficiency will make 0,2 %, incomes at the base price for oil 96 dollars/ barr. - 17,4 trln rbl., expenses - 18,4 trln rbl., not oil and gas deficiency - 8,2 %. In 2018. Proficiency will make 0,3 %. Incomes at the base price for oil 98 dollars/ barr. - 19,1 trln rbl., expenses - 20,26 trln rbl., not oil and gas deficiency - 8,0 %.
In 2019. Proficiency will make 0,3 %. Incomes at the base price for oil 100 dollars/ barr. - 20,8 trln rbl., expenses - 22,1 trln rbl., not oil and gas deficiency - 7,8 %. In 2020. Proficiency will make 0,1 %. Incomes at the base price for oil 106 dollars/ barr. - 22,8 trln rbl., expenses - 24,2 trln rbl., not oil and gas deficiency - 7,8 %.
we Will note, earlier the Minister of Finance of the Russian Federation Anton Siluanov has declared that if the mid-annual price for oil in 2012. There will be less than 100 dollars for barr., the budgeted deficit of the Russian Federation will make 1,5 % from volume of a total internal product (gross national product).
It has reminded that before acceptance of amendments in the budget current year the budgeted deficit has been planned in volume of 1,5 % from gross national product. Definitively to be defined with budget parametres for current year, by words And. Siluanova, it is necessary to watch, whether the trend of falling of the price for oil will remain. The minister has added that the mid-annual price not oil following the results of current year will make 100 dollars/ barr., in a case if in the second half of the year 2012. It will be at level hardly less than 90 dollars/ barr. For now the average price for oil from the beginning of current year makes 115 dollars/ barr., the head of the Ministry of Finance has noted.
we will remind, in the beginning of June 2012. The president of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin has signed the federal law making changes in the budget of the Russian Federation on 2012. And reducing deficiency with 1,5 to 0,1 % of a total internal product (gross national product). In absolute expression deficiency of the federal budget in 2012. Will make 68,1 mlrd rbl. against put in the law on the budget 876,6 mlrd rbl. Besides, the forecast at the mid-annual price for oil of mark Urals it is raised with 100 to 115 dollars/ barr.