Rus News Journal

Gross national product of Russia can grow more strongly, than it was expected

the Ministry of economic development of the Russian Federation can raise the forecast on gross national product growth in 2012. To 3,8 - 4 %, the head of department Andrey Belousov has informed journalists. As he said, in June 2012. Gross national product of the Russian Federation with the cleared seasonal prevalence has grown on 0,2 %.
As a whole on II quarter the indicator of 3,9 % has proved to be true. The obtained data gives to our the grounds for increase of rates of increase of gross national product. It is promoted by higher growth of investments - the minister has told, having noticed that inflow of foreign investments to fixed capital to Russia in 2012. Can grow on 7 - 9 %. Earlier the MAYOR predicted growth on 6,6 %.
Despite decrease in investments (in II quarter) in comparison with I quarter we consider that the forecast following the results of a year will be raised and if rates of increase remain, we can leave on 7 - 9 % - A.Belousov has told.
head the MAYOR also has noticed that the mid-annual price for oil in 2012. Can make 106 - 108 dollars/ barr. the Prices for oil not so strongly decrease, if they remain at level 100 dollars/ barr., we leave on 106 - 108 dollars/ barr. I will remind, this price was in the old budget, then we have changed it for 115 dollars/ barr. - he has told.
According to the operating official forecast of the ministry, gross national product growth in 2012. In the Russian Federation will make 3,4 %. We will remind that in I half-year 2012. Growth of gross national product of the Russian Federation has made about 4,4 %.
Rates of increase have appeared above, than we expected. I think that we leave approximately on 3,9 % in II quarter, and as a whole on a half-year growth will be above 4 %. 4,4 %, where - that so - has informed on July, 17th 2012. A.Belousov. He has underlined that Ministry of economic development and trade expects increase of a look-ahead indicator of growth of gross national product following the results of a year but the real result will appear which, has not told.
earlier it was informed that in II quarter 2012. Gross national product growth has made 3,9 - 4 %, and in I quarter - 4,9 %. But it is absolutely not enough of it for the decision of a problem of increase of labour productivity to 2018. And maintenance with financial resources of our problems, including on reforming of social branches - declared then A.Belousov.
we Will remind, in the end of April 2012. Dmitry Medvedev has stated a wish to increase rates of increase of economy. rates of increase of gross national product in 4 % it is quite good for the United States. To us 6 % or 7 %, as in China and India - D.Medvedev has noted.
earlier the MAYOR has lowered the forecast on gross national product growth in 2012. With 3,7 to 3,4 %. Were then the head of department Elvira Nabiullina has informed that forecast fall is connected with revaluation of base and unexpected additional growth of gross national product in 2011.
In the edition of report World Economic Outlook published on July, 16th of this year the International currency fund has predicted that growth of gross national product of Russia in 2012. Will make 4 %, and in 2013. - 3,9 %. Thus the IMF predicts in 2012. Positive balance of the federal budget of the Russian Federation at level of 0,1 % of gross national product which will be replaced by deficiency at level of 0,7 % of gross national product in 2013. Now the IMF looks is more pessimistic on budgetary prospects of Russia. We will remind, in the previous report in April 2012. The fund predicted that proficiency of the budget of the Russian Federation in 2012. Will make 0,6 % of gross national product, and deficiency in 2013. - 0,3 % of gross national product.