The American experts: In 2010ã. The dollar will cost 26 roublesDespite conversations on devaluation of rouble, analytics Banc of America Securities - Merrill Lynch have left without change the forecast on the Russian currency, expecting its slow strengthening in the foreseeable future.
in their opinion, in III quarter of current year the average rouble exchange rate to dollar will be stable and will make 30,64 rbl. the Similar situation will be and in IV quarter following the results of which the course is expected at level 30,61 rbl.
Since 2010ã. The rouble will start to become stronger faster: in I quarter 2010ã. - to 29,44 rbl./ dollars, in II quarter - to 29,26 rbl., in III quarter - 27,10 rbl., and by the end 2010ã. The rouble will become stronger to 26,64 rbl. for one unit of the American currency.
in the report - the forecast devoted to development of currencies so-called “ big tens “ (G10) and emerging markets, it is noticed that, despite shaky enough fundamental indicators, the external conjuncture for rouble has improved, and having reserves in 400 mlrd dollars the Central Bank can limit pressure upon the Russian currency at the expense of active interventions in the market.
we will remind that more recently on rouble speculative attack when within literally several days the Russian rouble exchange rate has considerably handed over before dollar and euro has been organised. Oils have added to fire also statements of deputy Anatoly Aksakov, a member of National bank board (NBS) which in the video blog on August, 6th of this year has offered sharply devalvirovat rouble on 30 - 40 %, “ to help the industry “.
A.Aksakov as a result can lose the post in NBS, and the rouble has despite of everything strengthened the positions to bivaljutnoj to a basket.