The Olympic Games - 2012: Russia intends “ to recoup in London for Beijing “Makar Dmitriev
On Friday, on July, 27th, will take place solemn ceremony of opening of the thirtieth under the account of summer Olympic games. And actually competitions have begun already yesterday: six matches started female football tournament.
representatives of two hundred with superfluous the countries till August, 12th will play in capital of Great Britain 302 complete sets of awards in 26 kinds of the Olympic program.
we will remind that four years ago on Games in Beijing the Russian sportsmen have won 72 medals: 23 gold, 21 silver and 28 bronze. In comparison with the Olympic Games in Athenes - 2004 deficiency “ gold reserves “ our national team has made five, and concerning Sydney - 2000 - nine awards of the higher test. Of course, dynamics unfavourable … a command can count On what totals in London?
To one of the most widespread and objective ways of construction medalnogo the forecast conducts the analysis of results of leading sportsmen on the main starts past chetyrehletija, with accent on last from the come to the end seasons. In particular, arguing from these positions, the catastrophic failure of Russians on the Olympic games of 2010 in Vancouver was represented absolutely inevitable long before the beginning of competitions. Moreover, since then the situation if has changed, that, alas, far not to the best. So, in a season 2011/ 12 our sportsmen in the World championships in winter Olympic disciplines have won only two gold medals! Thus, numerous statements of trainers and officials in which fruitfulness and efficiency of preparation of a national team to Sochi - 2014 while have not something in common in any way with the validity is marked and do not correspond to the facts.
essentially other picture develops in summer kinds. Figures say to us that Russian national team in London quite on forces to surpass result of the Olympic Games of 2008, and on total of the won awards our sportsmen can compete to recognised predominant forces - commands of China and the United States of America. Such possibility is caused, first of all, by successful performance of Russians in last World championship on track and field athletics which has taken place in 2011 in the South Korean city of Degu. The command has taken away from tournament of 19 awards (from them 9 - gold).
Maria Abakumov in the World championship - 2011 in Degu. A photo: AFP
the Similar result on the Olympic Games is capable to become the strong base of success of a national team in informal medalnom offset. Our positions on - former are strong in art and sports gymnastics, synchronous swimming, fencing, Greek - Roman and free-style wrestling, weightlifting, and also a number of shooting disciplines. We will not forget and about game sports.
The it is more interesting to track what unexpected metamorphosis was undergone by plans and ambitions - both the higher sports officials of the country, and representatives of separate federations for last four years.
initially motive “ to recoup in London for Beijing “ it was caught quite distinctly, but in process of approach of Games functionaries suddenly have sharply struck on brakes. So, the minister of sports, tourism and the youth policy of the Russian Federation Vitaly Mutko in one of recent interviews has underlined, what even the fourth place of a national team in medalnom offset (after Great Britain) should not be regarded as failure. The vice-president of committee of the Federation Council on social policy Vyacheslav Fetisov has declared that the Russian sportsmen have sufficient potential to win on Games of 25 gold medals. And the largest sports federations or have at all refused announcement traditional “ medalnyh plans “ Or have specified in corresponding a press - releases of figure which can be considered exclusively as the problem formulation - a minimum.
Elena Isinbaeva on Games - 2008 in Beijing. A photo: AFP
Certainly, similar strategy can be regarded, as banal unwillingness of officials to incur the raised obligations, but, at the same time, in forecasts, a sober estimation of own forces and possibilities in this case it is possible to welcome reasonable care only. For comparison, before the Peking Olympic Games the same federations as if competed among themselves - in what of them will publish the most absurd and unreal for performance the plan of a gain sportsmen of numerous awards.
as there will be a fight for the first place in command offset between the Chinese and American sportsmen? Representatives of Heavenly Empire absolutely precisely cannot repeat the unique result shown on house Games: 100 medals, from them 51 gold. Who exactly will press them from the majority of pedestals - in it the main intrigue of the Olympic Games consists in London, perhaps. Not a secret that not all local triumphers of Beijing have arrived to new Olympic capital. We will notice also that many of them did not show outstanding champion results neither to, nor after Igr - 2008.
there is no surprise a possible break of a command of owners of the thirtieth summer Olympic Games. Favour of judges can quite become advantage and a trump card of British, besides the native walls, well familiar sports objects and active support of fans. First of all, in boxing and sports gymnastics. To bypass them in the given kinds, it will be necessary for Russians to show staunch character and the indisputable superiority.